Difference between revisions of "Quasi-fiscal Activities"

 
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned the [[Government of Zimbabwe]] that it needs to give autonomy to its central bank (RBZ) if it is to avert the risk of plunging the economy into ''hyperinflation'' after every 10 years.<ref name="theindependent">Victor Bhoroma, [https://www.theindependent.co.zw/2019/11/08/central-bank-autonomy-quasi-fiscal-activities/], ''Zimbabwe Independent, Published: 8 November, 2019, Accessed: 13 August, 2020''</ref>
 
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned the [[Government of Zimbabwe]] that it needs to give autonomy to its central bank (RBZ) if it is to avert the risk of plunging the economy into ''hyperinflation'' after every 10 years.<ref name="theindependent">Victor Bhoroma, [https://www.theindependent.co.zw/2019/11/08/central-bank-autonomy-quasi-fiscal-activities/], ''Zimbabwe Independent, Published: 8 November, 2019, Accessed: 13 August, 2020''</ref>
  
The Bretton Woods institution pointed out that the current monetary crisis is as a result of failure to detach [[Monetary Policy]] from government policies. The government has over the years relied on the central bank’s function of quantitative easing (unconventional methods of printing money or increasing money supply) to plug its consumption induced budget deficits and this has increased its appetite to spend beyond tax revenues. ''Consumption and budget deficit increased from US$3,9 billion and US$185 million in 2014 to US$7,8 billion and US$2,7 billion respectively in 2018''.
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The Bretton Woods institution pointed out that the current monetary crisis is as a result of failure to detach [[Monetary Policy]] from government policies. The government has over the years relied on the central bank’s function of quantitative easing (unconventional methods of printing money or increasing money supply) to plug its consumption induced budget deficits and this has increased its appetite to spend beyond tax revenues. ''Consumption and budget deficit increased from US$3,9 billion and US$185 million in 2014 to US$7,8 billion and US$2,7 billion respectively in 2017''.
  
 
The widening gap between collected tax revenues and expenditure have been funded through the central bank overdraft facility and domestic borrowing through issuance of Treasury Bills (TBs). By December 2018, Zimbabwe’s domestic debt stood at over US$9,5 billion (Before rebasing). That figure included out of statute (unconstitutional) borrowings of more than $2,3 billion through the RBZ Overdraft facility.
 
The widening gap between collected tax revenues and expenditure have been funded through the central bank overdraft facility and domestic borrowing through issuance of Treasury Bills (TBs). By December 2018, Zimbabwe’s domestic debt stood at over US$9,5 billion (Before rebasing). That figure included out of statute (unconstitutional) borrowings of more than $2,3 billion through the RBZ Overdraft facility.

Latest revision as of 16:55, 14 August 2020

Quasi-fiscal activities are any activities undertaken by state-owned banks ( e.g Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe) and enterprises, and sometimes by private sector companies at the direction of the government, where the prices charged are less than usual or less than the “market rate.” Examples include subsidized bank loans provided by the central bank or other government-owned banks, and noncommercial public services provided by state-owned enterprises. A typical example would be state-owned enterprises providing fuel, electricity, or water at below market prices, thus providing an implicit price subsidy. If not clearly included in the government’s financial reports, quasi-fiscal activities are a particular type of extra-budgetary transaction.[1]

Background

In recent years there has been an increased emphasis on governments having a balanced budget and low levels of debt. Such prescriptions may increase incentives for governments to use quasi-fiscal activities that mask the true cost of their policies and thus make their fiscal position look better than it really is.

Types of quasi-fiscal activities

The International Monetary Fund has provided the following outline of different types of quasi-fiscal activities, to which some examples are added to clarify how they might work (IMF 2007: p. 80).

Operations related to the financial system

  • Subsidized lending, where state-owned banks provide subsidized loans to state enterprises or the private sector
  • Under-remunerated reserve requirements, where banks are required to hold reserves on which they gain a reduced profit from that which they could earn by investing the funds
  • Credit ceilings, where banks are subject to a limit on the amount of credit which they are allowed to issue

Operations related to the exchange and trade systems

  • Multiple currency exchange rates, where the central bank may use a series of different exchange rates for different transactions, for example, by giving a state-owned enterprise a better rate
  • Import deposits, where companies may be required to pay a deposit to the central bank to cover the cost they will eventually pay on imports
  • Exchange rate guarantees, where the central bank may provide government contractors with guarantees on the exchange rate they will be required to pay on imports
  • Non-tariff barriers, where imports of certain goods that compete with products produced in the country may be banned or restricted

Operations related to the commercial enterprise sector

  • Charging less than commercial prices, where state-owned enterprises may provide, for example, electricity at a subsidized price to some or all consumers
  • Provision of noncommercial services (e.g., social services), where state-owned companies may provide some services at less than full cost; for example, universities may not charge the full cost of tuition
  • Pricing for budget revenue purposes, where state-owned enterprises may be in a monopoly position and so may be able to charge prices above what a competitive market might establish to raise revenue for the government
  • Paying above commercial prices to suppliers, where local suppliers may be paid above the market rate as a form of protection for their industry

IMF Warning to Zimbabwe

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned the Government of Zimbabwe that it needs to give autonomy to its central bank (RBZ) if it is to avert the risk of plunging the economy into hyperinflation after every 10 years.[2]

The Bretton Woods institution pointed out that the current monetary crisis is as a result of failure to detach Monetary Policy from government policies. The government has over the years relied on the central bank’s function of quantitative easing (unconventional methods of printing money or increasing money supply) to plug its consumption induced budget deficits and this has increased its appetite to spend beyond tax revenues. Consumption and budget deficit increased from US$3,9 billion and US$185 million in 2014 to US$7,8 billion and US$2,7 billion respectively in 2017.

The widening gap between collected tax revenues and expenditure have been funded through the central bank overdraft facility and domestic borrowing through issuance of Treasury Bills (TBs). By December 2018, Zimbabwe’s domestic debt stood at over US$9,5 billion (Before rebasing). That figure included out of statute (unconstitutional) borrowings of more than $2,3 billion through the RBZ Overdraft facility.

The functions of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) according to the RBZ Act (Chapter 22.15) are to formulate and implement monetary policy directed at ensuring low and stable inflation levels. To maintain a stable banking system through its banking supervisory and lender of last resort roles, issue bank notes and coins and manage the country’s gold and foreign exchange assets. However, the contentious function of the central bank relates to its role of acting as a banker and financial adviser to, and fiscal agent of the State.

It is this function that has led to conflation between monetary policy and government policy. The central bank has over the years been involved in public sector expenditure programmes such as the procurement of farming inputs, petroleum, medicine, grain and processed food, farm implements and electricity among others.

RBZ Involvement in public sector expenditure programmes

In 2005, the central bank launched the Agriculture Sector Productivity Enhancement Facility (ASPEF) in order to boost agricultural production. Farming inputs and implements worth more than US$114 million meant for the programme were looted and failed to improve production as it fueled corruption among the elite.

In the same year, Operation Maguta was launched with over US$41 million being channeled towards rural households, winter and summer cropping projects. In April 2005, various local governments accessed at least ZW$1 trillion under the central bank’s Parastatals and Local Authorities Reorientation Programme (PLARP).

A huge chunk of the PLARP loans were not paid for up to this day. The Farm Mechanisation Scheme 2007 followed in September 2007 with the objective of mechanising agriculture production and improve crop yield per hectare. The Basic Commodities Supply Side Intervention (BACCOSSI) was also introduced in January 2008 to alleviate the acute shortages of goods in supermarkets through giving households food hampers. Most of these programmes guzzled millions of dollars but failed on implementation as the projects were politicised, looted, mismanaged and widened beyond scope thereby increasing broad money supply.

For the past three years, the central bank has been running several support schemes such as small scale gold and tobacco production, boosting tourism, diamond production, cross border trade and export incentive schemes among others at the expense of the country’s financial institutions such as commercial or merchant banks. To the central bank’s credit though, contribution from small scale producers in gold and tobacco have placed Zimbabwe back on the map with gold deliveries to Fidelity Printers and Refiners (FPR) increasing by 16% to 24,8 tonnes in 2017 and notched an all-time high of 33,2 tonnes in 2018. The same effect was also felt in tobacco farming where 189 million kgs of the golden leaf were produced in 2017 and a record of 253 million kgs in 2018. Small scale producers now account for the bulk of the gold and tobacco deliveries in Zimbabwe.

Calls for Central Bank's Independence

Calls for the independence of the central bank have been growing locally due to the impact of the central bank’s quasi fiscal activities which have fueled growth in broad money supply, domestic debt, and inflation rate. They have also created pricing distortions in the market with multi-tier pricing persisting till today. The central bank often points that it carries out borrowing on the local market to plug the budget deficit hole at the behest of the government. There are different variations of central bank independence in Africa the world over. Most central banks do not have absolute independence even though their monetary policy framework may be autonomous.

The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) enjoys a considerable degree of autonomy in the execution of its duties. In terms of section 224 of the South African Constitution enacted in 1996, “the SARB, in pursuit of its primary objective, must perform its functions independently and without fear, favour or prejudice, but there must be regular consultation between the Bank and the Cabinet member responsible for national financial matters”.

In June 2019, SARB rejected calls to pour billions of rands to bail out ailing parastatals such as Eskom, South African Airways and South African Broadcasting Services (SABC) and print money to induce economic growth as called for by the government.

The benefits of an autonomous central bank especially on monetary policy are to do with being able to manage inflation and preserve investment value in the economy through control of credit creation. Naturally the government leadership is motivated by short-term political gains of boosting employment and economic production through increasing government expenditure and borrowing. This naturally needs checks and balances especially in the case of Zimbabwe where government expenditure has fueled inflation, corruption and looting by the elite, private sector disengagement and economic decline to the detriment of ordinary citizens.

Central bank quasi fiscal activities bring in distortions in the market as they compete with commercial banks and micro-finance institutions in providing funding to the productive sector. Although the bank justifies these through positive outcomes such as gold and tobacco production, the apex bank should concentrate on creating a conducive environment characterised by efficient banks, which in turn offer facilities at reasonable rates to productive sectors as opposed to a situation where the banks and the central bank are competing in the same market. Quasi-fiscal operations result in excessive growth in money supply, which has an effect of putting pressure on prices of goods and services.

Conflict of interest is now rife with the central bank engaged in quasi fiscal activities such as structuring fuel deals and printing electronic money to plug the government budget deficit while at the same time trying to control growth in money supply through increasing interest rates and printing limited amounts of notes and coins.

Effect of Quasi-fiscal activities (QFA)

When former RBZ deputy governor Dr Khuphikile Mlambo appeared before the Parliamentary Portfolio Committee on Public Accounts in September 2019 to answer questions on QFA, he said they found themselves under pressure to act the way they did because of the political dispensation at the time. He also said that they were still paying subsidies for fuel to the tune of around US$8 million a month, and both fuel and electricity are covered by Treasury Bills (TBs).

Official RBZ figures showed that in 2017 RBZ issued TBs to the tune of US$378,7 million towards a Governemnt agricultural inputs programme. The same document also showed that in 2018, the bank issued TBs worth US$235,9 million for the same scheme. And a separate agricultural inputs scheme received TBs valued at US$573,3 million.[3]





References

  1. [1], International Budget Partnership, Accessed: 13 August, 2020
  2. Victor Bhoroma, [2], Zimbabwe Independent, Published: 8 November, 2019, Accessed: 13 August, 2020
  3. Tawanda Musarurwa, [3], Business Weekly, Published: 25 November, 2019, Accessed: 13 August, 2020