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Political analysts say the Al Jazeera “Gold Mafia” documentary which exposed alleged gold smuggling and money laundering by individuals who named-dropped President Emmerson Mnangagwa may not have any impact on voting patterns in forthcoming general elections.
In a recent interview with <a href="https://www.newzimbabwe.com/al-jazeera-expose-can-bolster-eds-popularity-among-electorate-says-political-analysts/">NewZimbabwe.com</a>, political researcher Alexander Rusero said Gold Mafia trended on social media platforms but a greater part of the electorate was not on those platforms. Said Rusero:
<blockquote>
As much as you cannot downplay the role of social media in electoral politics, Zimbabwe’s political balance of forces is still pretty much offline, and not online.
The country’s political gravitas is offline. Online discourses, exposes on Facebook, Twitter and YouTube where this documentary has been popularized remain elitist in the current scheme of things.
There is nothing much. I would not want to go into the documentary’s shortcomings but to then say, people would change their voting patterns or perception will be desperation.
This documentary can actually bolster Mnangagwa’s position in terms of loyalty in his party (ZANU PF); in terms of the Haves and Have Nots etc.
</blockquote>
Another political analyst, Eldred Masunungure told the publication that corruption by the elites has been normalized and as a result, the Al Jazeera documentary did not induce enough shock to alter voting patterns. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>
Because corruption has been routinized in the country, there is not enough shock attendant on the ‘Gold Mafia’ exposés and therefore the impact on voting intentions may be muted.
The impact of the ‘Gold Mafia’ documentary depends on multiple factors, one of which is that the revelations are not entirely new except that people/voters did not have solid, irrefutable evidence as was provided by the documentary.
The corruption in the country, especially involving the ruling elite, has been so embedded and systemic that most Zimbabweans have become numb to the pervasive problem.
The other vital factor is the extent to which the revelations have been published beyond the urban areas and beyond the more politically sophisticated block of voters.
Is there a critical mass of politically conscious and alert citizens who can speak truth to power in the ballot box?
</blockquote>
The Gold Mafia documentary exposed an alleged series of gold smuggling gangs in Southern Africa that help criminals launder hundreds of millions of dollars.
The gang members get rich while plundering their nations and keeping millions in abject poverty.
They use gold to turn dirty cash into clean, seemingly legitimate money for those with large amounts of unaccounted wealth.
The criminals do so by using a complex web of companies, counterfeit identities and fake documents.
More: <a href="https://zero.pindula.co.zw/">Pindula News</a>

Pindula News

Gold Mafia Al Jazeera Documentary Won't Influence Voting Patterns - Analysts

The Citizens’ Coalition for Change (CCC) has assured the country’s security chiefs they will not be fired if the opposition party wins elections scheduled for later this year.
CCC spokesperson Fadzayi Mahere told NewsDay on Wednesday that the party seeks to change the country’s governance culture and ensure that State institutions understand their roles in the running of the country. Said Mahere:
<blockquote>
They are put in place by the Constitution, so we will not change them. What we will change are the political leaders and the governance culture to ensure that we have ethical leaders who put the welfare of citizens at the centre of all decision-making.
Therefore, it’s important for State institutions to understand our disposition toward their existence and our attitude and appreciation of the important role that they play in the running of our nation.
</blockquote>
She made the comments after CCC leader Nelson Chamisa recently pledged to enhance cordial relations with members of the security officers if his party wins this year’s harmonised elections. Chamisa tweeted:
<blockquote>
We will honour, protect and work with all men and women in uniform.
We will and must reward the patriotism and integrity of our security services.
We salute our citizens’ security services — the citizens’ army, citizens’ police and citizens’ intelligence and prison services.
</blockquote>
In previous elections, the opposition accused the country’s military commanders, top cops and senior intelligence officers of siding with ZANU PF during elections.
Political analyst Eldred Masunungure told NewsDay that the military has always been aligned with the ruling ZANU PF party which makes it a tricky situation for the opposition. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>
It is the duty of the security officers to offer allegiance to any government in place.
But in the case of Zimbabwe and many other former colonies, the relationship between the military and the civilians has been delicate.
In Zimbabwe, the military has always been aligned with the ruling Zanu PF party. So it is a tricky situation for the CCC.
The opposition party is trying to allay the fears of the security officers who do not want to lose their posts.
Chamisa is just telling the security officers that if he becomes the leader of this country, they will not be dismissed from service and encouraging them that they must not undermine democracy just for the sake of their military positions.
</blockquote>
On the eve of the 2002 presidential elections, the late army commander General Vitalis Zvinavashe declared that the armed forces would not “support or salute anyone with a different agenda that threatens the very existence of our sovereignty, our country and our people.”
This was interpreted by some political commentators as a declaration that the military was not going to allow the then MDC leader Morgan Tsvangirai to rule even if he were to win the election. | <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/local-news/article/200005755/chamisa-woos-security-chefs">NewsDay</a>

Security Chiefs Will Keep Their Jobs - CCC

Political commentators have accused President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s government of trying to instill fear in citizens and the opposition after Cabinet last Tuesday approved the principles for enacting the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) Amendment Bill.
The proposed legislation contains clauses that seek to punish “unpatriotic citizens” and enforce patriotism.
Critics, however, say the proposed law will further close the democratic space as the country heads to the 2023 general elections.
University of Zimbabwe political scientist Eldred Masunungure said the Bill shows dictatorial tendencies. He said:
<blockquote>
The Bill is just there to inject fear into the targeted institutions and political parties.
It may backfire for the regime as this defeats the whole purpose of re-engagement.
The Bill will also target key leaders in the opposition, but the difficulty of enforcing the proposed Act is that it will need a lot of surveillance and it is difficult.
</blockquote>
Another political commentator, Rejoice Ngwenya, said the Bill curtails individuals’ right to freedom of expression. Said Ngwenya:
<blockquote>
It will create a basis for prosecution based on legislative falsehoods.
This can be contested in the Constitutional Court because we are free to express ourselves.
</blockquote>
ZANU PF Chief Whip Pupurai Togarepi first suggested the need for a Patriotic Act in 2018 to punish Zimbabweans who advocate for economic sanctions to be imposed on the country.
ZANU PF later moved a motion in Parliament on the proposed Bill in March 2021.
Last Tuesday, Cabinet approved the principles for enacting the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) Amendment Bill, which will make it a criminal offence for citizens to advocate for sanctions or embargoes to be imposed on Zimbabwe by foreign governments.
United States-based researcher Madison Mandell said the Criminal Law (Codification and Reform) Amendment Bill seeks to close down the remaining democratic space in Zimbabwe. Mandell said:
<blockquote>
The vague language of the Bill creates a rare opportunity for the ruling party to apply it as a means of stifling freedom of expression, which effectively would close down any remaining democratic ‘space’ in Zimbabwe.
The legislation criminalizes almost any speech that is critical of the government or that draws attention to the state’s dire issues.
These limitations on free speech not only violate the freedoms guaranteed by the 2013 constitution but also jeopardise the prospects to strengthen democracy.
The ability to hold governments accountable is one of the main reasons that free expression is central to democracy; the Bill is a complete assault on accountability.
</blockquote>
| <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/thestandard/news/article/200004198/mnangangwa-wants-to-inject-fear">The Standard</a>

Proposed Law On Patriotism Shows Dictatorial Tendencies - Masunungure

Political analysts have described CCC leader Nelson Chamisa’s recent plea to the Southern African Development Community (SADC) to ensure that Zimbabwe holds free and fair elections as purely symbolic.
In the past, SADC has been accused of doing nothing to end Zimbabwe’s cycle of disputed elections, especially since the emergence of the MDC in 1999.
University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer Eldred Masunungure told <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/local-news/article/200000218/opposition-loses-hope-on-reforms">NewsDay</a> that SADC has no “appetite” to intervene in Zimbabwe. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>
I do not think those regional bodies have much appetite to involve themselves in the Zimbabwean situation.
Such calls for solidarity can be made symbolic so that at least they can say they did something in their call for reforms.
</blockquote>
SAPES Trust director Ibbo Mandaza said although SADC could play a role in resolving the problems Zimbabwe is facing, Parliament should play its role. He said:
<blockquote>
Appeals to SADC and the regional bodies are also important, but historically, SADC did little or nothing about the Zimbabwean situation given the declining influence and status of the regional organisation, more than a graphic illustration of the sordid conditions in which Zimbabwe finds itself, economically, politically and socially.
Parliament is one key institution which can be used to resolve the problem. We have opposition MPs in Parliament. What are they doing to push for electoral reforms in that House?
</blockquote>
On Thursday, Chamisa pleaded with SADC for the regional organisation to push for electoral reforms in Zimbabwe ahead of the 2023 elections.
In an open letter to SADC, Chamisa said regional countries will continue to carry the burden of Zimbabwe’s crisis until the governance issues are resolved. Wrote Chamisa:
<blockquote>
Zimbabwe has been a burden to her neighbours for far too long. It is time we changed this.
This all starts with solving the governance crisis, once and for all. We need reforms. We must prepare and have a pre-election pact on electoral and political reforms.
Our call to our neighbours is this; we appreciate your benevolence and patience, but you should not have to carry this burden any longer than you already have.
Help us to hold credible elections. We are encouraged that President Cyril Ramaphosa has said the immigration crisis will be discussed at regional level.
Now, more strongly than ever, SADC must demand reforms. We do not ask for anything new; only that Zimbabwe holds elections that meet already existing SADC guidelines.
This, more than shaming the innocent victims of misrule, is what will solve the crisis.
</blockquote>

Chamisa's Appeal To SADC Purely Symbolic - Masunungure

University of Zimbabwe (UZ) political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure, said that President Emmerson Mnangagwa has been canvassing political support in the church to prolong its stay at State House.
Unnamed senior ZANU PF officials recently told The NewsHawks that Mnangagwa and the First Lady Auxillia Mnangagwa have decided to harvest support in churches following an Afrobarometer survey report released in June this year.
The Afrobarometer report indicated a rise in the popularity of CCC leader Nelson Chamisa against waning support for Mnangagwa.
The key finding of the survey was that if elections were held at that juncture, 33% of the respondents were going to vote for Chamisa while 30% would vote for Mnangagwa.
Speaking to The NewsHawks, Masunungure said the First Family is now frequenting churches not for the love of Jesus but for love of power. He said:
<blockquote>
This goes to show the enormous and increasing power of the religious factor, particularly the indigenous African churches as well as the Pentecostals.
Remember, according to the recent Afrobarometer survey (March-April 2022), 90% of Zimbabweans declared that they are Christians.
This is coupled with the fact that religious leaders are by far the most trusted among public figures, with 71% of adult citizens saying they trust them compared to the next most trusted institutions, traditional leaders who attract 58% trust levels.
In short, the first family – President and First Lady – have their fingers on the pulse.
But, let’s be clear: it’s not for the love of Jesus or the Bible but for love of power that proximity to religious figures yields.
Also note that traditional leaders have long been targeted and are now in the fold, and so are many other socio-political demographic groups.
This is all part of a total strategy that leaves no stone unturned on the road to retaining State House.
</blockquote>
Masunungure added that Mnangagwa’s strategy to lure churches could garner votes for him in next year’s elections. He said:
<blockquote>
The chances are extremely high, especially in respect of the above religious movements – indigenous and pentecostal– where often the word of the bishop is taken as a directive to the congregants and there is little to no room for dissenting voices and defiant actions.
</blockquote>
ZANU PF officials including Mnangagwa, Vice President Constantino Chiwenga and the First Lady have been frequenting countless churches.
On 16 July, Mnangagwa was in Mafararikwa at St Noah where he attended the Passover Service of the Johanne Marange Apostolic Church.
That same day, the First Lady and Information minister Monica Mutsvangwa were in Mutare, attending an Apostolic Ejuweni Jekenisheni church service.
On 2 July, Chiwenga was at the Catholic-run Monte Cassino Girls High School in Macheke.
On 7 August, Mnangagwa attended a service at Zion Christian Church at Defe Dopota. He was accompanied by the First Lady.
More: <a href="https://thenewshawks.com/afrobarometer-report-sends-zanu-pf-to-church/">The NewsHawks</a>

Love For Power, Not For Jesus Sends ED To Churches - Masunungure

President Emmerson Mnangagwa has warned ZANU PF members against leaving the party as that will likely mark the end of their political careers.
He made the remarks while addressing a rally in Epworth at the weekend when he was launching the party’s campaign for the March 26 by-elections. He said:
<blockquote>
 I am aware that we have by-elections coming up and during the provincial elections, we got reports that they were chaotic. Conflicts are accepted in the party but if a candidate wins, we must all embrace the result and rally behind them,” he said.
We do not want thieves. I am told some of the candidates ran away with ballot papers during primary elections. If you are the one who disappeared with ballot papers, let it be the last time. Zanu PF loves peace.
You must follow the laws that are in the party. Respect the laws of the party.  Do not join the opposition. Do not ever attempt to leave. It’s cold out there.
</blockquote>
Mnangagwa blamed the lack of development in the country on corruption during the reign of the late former President Robert Mugabe’s era. He said:
<blockquote>
I sometimes question where money meant for development went during the First Republic, but I’m quick to put myself to order (keep quiet) as I was also part of the old regime.
</blockquote>
Political analyst Eldred Masunungure said: “Assuming it was not a miss of the tongue, that is staggeringly shocking and yet unwittingly true, especially from a regime that consistently seeks to distance itself in word and deed from the so-called first republic.
More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2022/02/its-cold-out-there-ed-warns-divisive-zanu-pf-members/">NewsDay Zimbabwe</a>

"Don't Ever Attempt To Leave, It’s Cold Out There" - Mnangagwa Tells ZANU PF Members

Political analysts have advised MDC Alliance leader Nelson Chamisa to change the party’s strategy to avoid walloping at the hands of Zanu PF in 2023.
Respected University of Zimbabwe Political Science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure, told Daily News that Chamisa should abandon his confrontational tactics as Zanu PF are masters of the dark arts. He said:
<blockquote>The MDC Alliance leader should search for a viable solution through non-combative means given the nature of the ruling party.
Confrontational battles are its area of specialisation and one does not walk into a lion’s den and expect to come out unscathed.
There is a need for a serious paradigm shift in the opposition’s approach because they cannot afford to be blind to the reality of a vicious response to confrontation by Zanu PF.
If he hopes for an all-inclusive dialogue, it is only possible if he (Chamisa) discards the strategy of confrontation and uses persuasion by dropping the legitimacy demand as a sign of goodwill.</blockquote>
Renowned Professor of World Politics at the University of London’s School of Oriental and African Studies, Stephen Chan, urged Chamisa to rebrand the MDC Alliance. Said Chan:
<blockquote>You cannot confront Zanu PF and at the same time confront the other MDC, complaining that you are the real MDC … a situation of circular futility arises.
He (Chamisa) needs to rebrand his party, ensure that there is national dialogue along with the issue of reforms by engaging Zanu PF without necessarily being combative.
I hate to say this, especially as many people think I am overly critical of him but, in fact, I extend my admiration to him, for he has great courage.
However, it seems he uses exactly the same confrontational strategy that he used as a student leader.
Above all, he needs to concentrate on fighting for by-elections for those seats lost by his followers and setting out alternative detailed policies, not just visions and sound-bites…</blockquote>
<h4>More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/alliance-staring-down-the-barrel-as-analysts-pooh-pooh-its-student-politics/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

Analysts Urge Chamisa To Abandon Confrontational Politics

Eldred Masunungure, a Political Science lecturer at the University of Zimbabwe has said leaders in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) are having a hard time over the Zimbabwean governance and human rights crisis. He cautioned however that the leaders may not directly confront the Zimbabwean leadership as the ruling ZANU PF enjoys a special status among in the region. He also expressed pessimism over the possibility of the African Union resolving the crisis before SADC declares that there is indeed a crisis. Masunungure made the remarks during an interview with Daily News on Sunday’s Consulting Editor, Constantine Chimakure. Below are the excerpts of the interview.
<blockquote>Chimakure: The Sadc Summit has come and gone and the Zimbabwe crisis was not part of the agenda, why is Sadc ignoring this?
Masunungure: I am not sure if ignoring the crisis is the right description. My sense is that Sadc is simply at a quandary as to what to do on a chronic crisis that has been on the … agenda for the past two decades, was partially resolved through the GPA (Global Political Agreement of 2008 which led to the formation of a government of national unity), but soon after relapsed, apparently with a vengeance.
In short, I think the regional body is at sixes and sevens on the Zimbabwe crisis. A more generous explanation is that the Sadc leaders made a pact not to wash Zimbabwe’s linen in public and instead preferred to discuss this behind closed doors after the summit.
In this case, the problem would be who would bell the cat, that is, who would be assigned to confront the traditionally stubborn Zimbabwe leadership.
Whoever was assigned the difficult task will need to tread carefully given the visceral response of the leadership so far to whoever tried to speak truth to the leadership.</blockquote>

"SADC Leaders Made A Pact Not To Wash Zimbabwe’s Linen In Public - Masunungure

Eldred Masunungure, a Political Science lecturer at the University of Zimbabwe has said the governance and human rights crisis in Zimbabwe will give a hard time to South African President Cyril Ramaphosa.
Masunungure speaks when Ramaphosa who is the current chairperson of the African Union has already sent envoys to Zimbabwe to assess reports of human rights abuses by the state. Speaking to the Daily News, Masunungure said:
<blockquote>
<div dir="ltr">He (Ramaphosa) cannot afford to fold his arms when a neighbour is burning … this is also an indication that the continent has heard the cries of Zimbabweans and there is an appetite to act.</div>
<div dir="ltr">However, the fact that the Zimbabwean leadership does not agree that there is a crisis makes it difficult for him. How does he proceed when their interpretation of the problem is running parallel?</div>
</blockquote>
<div dir="ltr">He foresees a situation whereby the envoys will gather contradictory and conflicting data from all stakeholders which will be difficult to interpret.</div>
<div dir="ltr">The Zimbabwean government has since indicated that the crisis is being exaggerated by enemies of the country who want to dirt its image.</div>
<div dir="ltr">More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/government-welcomes-pretoria-envoys-but-analysts-churches-are-sceptical-that-sa-will-achieve-much/?fbclid=IwAR0BQNloHBCsoL4FYpeMfuKJGsmBGpETUz0xFhOKrVXRGttQtsUA3KK6P_Y" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></div>

"Zimbabwean Governance And Human Rights Crisis A Headache For Ramaphosa" - Masunungure

Political commentators and analysts have said the government is likely to descend heavily on protestors who are planning to demonstrate on 31 July, the Daily News Reports.
Speaking to the publication, UZ’s Eldred Masunungure said
<blockquote>
<div>…However, the heavy hand of the State awaits those that will partake in the planned demonstration, and in the face of Covid-19 authorities will not hesitate to use a hammer to kill a fly. The State will likely go into its default mode of heavy-handedness to send a strong signal, like what happened with previous flash demonstrations, including the recent one in Warren Park.</div>
<div></div>
<div>The opposition, therefore, has limited options because the freedom to demonstrate is only on paper. The democratic space is under lock and key. The reality is that nothing will change unless political gladiators in the country dialogue. ED should also realise that he has tried all he can to work on the economy on his own, and he has failed.</div>
<div></div>
<div>His own supporters probably agree on this abysmal failure and also on the fact that all that needed to go wrong since he came to power in 2017 has gone awfully wrong. The only viable solution is thus a roundtable dialogue with the so-called enemies of the State (political rivals)</div>
</blockquote>
<div>The International Crisis Group’s senior consultant for southern Africa, Piers Pigou also said the protests were likely to attract a heavy-handed response from the government:</div>
<blockquote>
<div>
<div>In a context of selective adherence to lockdown provisions, it seems likely there will be a heavy-handed response, especially if permission is not secured. It need not be so, and the authorities could put in place a more flexible approach that contains the parameters of protest to protect life and property, if and when needed.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Sadly, from previous experience it seems unlikely the security forces are equipped to respond with appropriate calibration. This takes Zimbabwe nowhere and reinforces the perception that this administration is not serious about reform. Mnangagwa appears to support a notion of dialogue that is not in accordance with the sort of dialogue that is require</div>
</div>
</blockquote>
<div></div>
<div>Another political commentator, Rashweat Mukundu said the authorities were likely to be used to take away citizens’ rights:</div>
<blockquote>
<div>
<div>It is within the constitutional rights of the citizens of Zimbabwe to protest, yet consideration has to be made of the current Covid-19 situation. We must be careful that the pandemic situation does not become an excuse to take away citizen rights.</div>
<div></div>
<div>As has been stated in other forums, including calls by the South Africa International Relations minister, the two influential political leaders who must engage in dialogue are Nelson Chamisa and ED. This has been Chamisa’s call that he wants to meet ED, yet ED has stuck to Polad, which for all intents and purposes is a body of political nonentities.</div>
<div></div>
<div>So, it is up to ED to be magnanimous and engage towards a reduction to end the crisis. Protests are unlikely to end but rather increase as the economic situation continues to worsen</div>
</div>
</blockquote>
<div>The government has been thwarting any form of protests for some time now as they cite different reasons.</div>
<div></div>
<div>More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/tensions-rising-over-zim-crises-as-battle-lines-are-drawn-ahead-of-planned-july-31-mass-demo/">Daily News </a></div>

31 July Planned Protests Likely To Attract Heavy Handed Response From The Govt - Political Analysts

Political commentators have urged MDC Alliance leader Nelson Chamisa and his erstwhile colleague Thokozani Khupe, the acting MDC-T president to settle their differences for the opposition to stand a chance of upsetting the ruling ZANU PF party in 2023.
A political analyst, Maxwell Saungweme told the Daily News that MDC-T officials acknowledge that Chamisa is their best foot forward and are open to lending their support if he respects and recognises them, not just his favourite people only. Said Saungweme:
<blockquote>None of those leaders doubts that Chamisa is more popular than all of them and that he is the best foot forward if they are to release some political shock to Zanu PF in 2023.
The disgruntled MDC leaders just need respect and recognition, not necessarily the presidency that Chamisa has no competition on.
But if both sides remain headstrong, the train will just sink. Politics is not about just being legalistic and eloquent, but also about being calculative and meticulously combining this with dialogue, compromise, leadership and the law.</blockquote>
Renowned University of Zimbabwe Political Science lecturer Eldred Masunungure opined that Chamisa and Khupe’s differences are a matter of personality and the two can be reunited by astute mediation. He said:
<blockquote>They are offshoots of the same stem and they worked together for a longer period than they have been adversaries. It is almost 20 years of working together, and so there is scope for unity.
… It makes sense to hold a congress that resonates with the MDC base because the problems between the two leaders are basically a matter of personality, and with astute mediation unity is possible.
Of course, there is bad blood, but there has not been any bloodshed during their political gladiation.</blockquote>
Masunungure further argued that if ZANU and PF ZAPU could work together in the aftermath of the 1980s Gukurahundi massacres, then it is much easier for Chamisa and Khupe to work together.
<h4>More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/talk-to-khupe-to-end-mdcs-wars-chamisa-told-as-party-burns-zanu-pf-rejoices/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

'Chamisa And Khupe's Differences Are Not Irreconcilable'

MDC Alliance leader Nelson Chamisa has little room to manoeuvre as the ruling ZANU PF party takes full advantage of the coronavirus-induced national lockdown to decimate his party, a political analyst has said.
University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer Eldred Masunungure said he feels pity for Chamisa because he cannot mobilise his supporters due to the lockdown while SADC and the UN cannot to do anything against rampant human rights violations targeting his supporters. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>I feel pity for Chamisa and the MDC Alliance because they are boxed in a manner that thinking outside that box is virtually impossible.
Zanu PF and the government are taking full advantage of the lockdown to decimate their political rival.
There is little scope for Chamisa to robustly respond because he cannot mobilise for demonstrations and until the restrictions have been limited, the party finds itself in an invidious position.
Perhaps Chamisa has to consider social media as an alternative, but then again it may not be as widespread as he would want. He cannot mobilise beyond social media.
He has been appealing to Sadc and the United Nations, which has condemned the rights abuses and persecution of the opposition, but beyond that, what else can they do?</blockquote>
This comes as the government has launched a clampdown on MDC Alliance activists, with Joana Mamombe (MP), Netsai Marova and Cecilia Chimbiri dragged to court for allegedly stage-managing an abduction.
Moreover, several lawyers who have represented opposition politicians have been arrested over the past few days including Chamisa’s attorney, Advocate Thabani Mpofu.
<h4>More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/boxed-chamisa-must-think-outside-the-box/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

I feel Pity For Chamisa And MDC Alliance - Masunungure

Political analysts have urged President Emmerson Mnangagwa to urgently consider sincere national dialogue to avert imminent civil unrest.
World politics specialist, Stephen Chan, told the Daily News on Tuesday that the international community, both the East and the West, is surprised by President Mnangagwa’s shilly-shallying in resolving the country’s crises. Said Chan:
<blockquote>The indecisiveness of …Mnangagwa is surprising to me and indeed … to the international community as a whole.
The reading in both the US State Department and Whitehall is that he must be hostage to various Zanu PF factions and that he sees himself first as the president of Zanu PF, and then as the president of Zimbabwe.
And given the effective paralysis of the opposition, as it insists on opposing itself — self-cannibalising itself — this can only invite public unrest.
So the MDC is as much to blame as Zanu PF for any turmoil that may come. I think you can forget re-engagement with the West.</blockquote>
University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure told the publication that the country has all the ingredients for civil strife. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>… the ingredients for civil unrest are there, the firewood and petrol are there, what is missing is the lighter.
Mnangagwa has to deal with toxic politics in Zimbabwe. One of the effective solutions is to have a coalition government.
A coalition government can act as a paracetamol (pain killer). It can reduce political temperatures for now. The country is burning. It really is high time to bury the hatchet.
Mnangagwa must start to engage all locals, political parties and other stakeholders.
We cannot talk about re-engagement internationally when you are failing to engage your fellow countrymen.</blockquote>
<h4>More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/act-now-to-avert-anarchy-ed-told-as-dark-clouds-hang-over-strife-torn-zimbabwe/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

'Only Sincere National Dialogue Will Save Zimbabwe'

Harare East legislator Tendai Biti said Finance and Economic Development Minister Mthuli Ncube should resign because he does not understand the crisis the country is in, having been away for many years.
Biti made the remarks following  Ncube’s leaked letter to the International Monetary Fund where he said Zimbabwe faces social upheavals due to the dire state of the economy caused partly by the government’s “missteps”.
In an interview with the Daily News, Biti said it will take years for Zimbabwe’s economy to recover from the damage inflicted by Ncube. Said Biti:
<blockquote>If you are employed and you fail to perform according to expectations, you should be fired from your post.
Both Mthuli and his boss (Mnangagwa) should do the honourable thing and resign.
The problem is that Mthuli doesn’t understand the crisis at hand. He has not lived in the country for many years and is, therefore … out of his depth.
… In fact, things are worse today than they were in 2007-2008. To undo what Mthuli has done to the economy will take years.</blockquote>
University of Zimbabwe Political Science lecturer Eldred Masunungure told the Daily News that the government should prepare itself for protests similar to those experienced in January 2019. He said:
<blockquote>What this means politically is that the government has to gear itself up for some form of revolt, something similar to the January 2019 protests.
Ncube may also have initially underestimated the gravity of the problem and the dynamics of the local political economy.
Mthuli is also not in the politburo and thus lacks the political muscle. He is too junior in Zanu PF to drive through what he wants to do.</blockquote>
<h4>More: <a href="https://dailynews.co.zw/mthuli-throws-ed-under-bus-as-out-of-depth-minister-is-urged-to-resign-or-get-the-sack/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

Mthuli Ncube Should Resign After His IMF 'Confessions' - Analysts

Political commentators who spoke to the Daily News on Sunday believe that there are hardliners within both ZANU PF and the MDC who are not inclined to dialogue between the two parties.
University of Zimbabwe Political Science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure said:
<blockquote>There are indeed hardliners and soft-liners in the two parties. The hardliners in Zanu PF view Chamisa as someone who cannot be trusted.
The MDC … has also taken a hardline stance by rejecting the win by Mnangagwa, and as long as that view holds … there will likely not be any dialogue.</blockquote>
Another political commentator, Maxwell Saungweme opined that Chamisa and his lieutenants fear co-optation. He said:
<blockquote>Chamisa and those around him may fear that they may lose legitimacy … by being co-opted into government, and that the MDC will lose its opposition space to new parties that may emerge.
… for Mnangagwa and his team, their fears could be around Chamisa currying favour with the military once he is in, say, a unity government, or the fear that some elements in Zanu PF will say Mnangagwa atengesa (he has sold out).</blockquote>
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2020/02/02/zanu-pf-mdc-hawks-work-to-derail-dialogue" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

Hardliners & Softliners Exist In Both ZANU PF And MDC - Masunungure

The alleged firing of live ammunition in the direction of MDC leader <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Nelson_Chamisa" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Nelson Chamisa</a> by police over the weekend has possibly killed any momentum that has been gathering towards national dialogue, a political analyst contends.
Eldred Masunungure, a political science lecturer at the <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/University_of_Zimbabwe" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">University of Zimbabwe</a>, told the Daily News that the incident could have been an attempt to scuttle progress by those retrogressive forces bent on torpedoing talks between Chamisa and President Emerson Mnangagwa. He said:
<blockquote>Whichever way one looks at it, it killed the momentum that appeared to be rising regarding the talks about talks where various interlocutors, including the church and Sadc, had appeared to push hard for dialogue.
They will be disappointed with the development, especially if indeed live ammunition was used because it kills the re-engagement momentum.</blockquote>
Masunungure’s comments come after police banned Chamisa from planting trees at a school in <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Marondera" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Marondera</a> on Sunday, as has become the “norm”, with countless MDC events banned on spurious grounds.
MDC officials were captured by cameras scurrying for cover after a gunshot cracked in the Marondera afternoon. The party claims that police fired live ammunition at the MDC officials in an attempt to stop the tree-planting event.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/12/03/chamisa-warns-ed-government-says-mdc-will-mobilise-zim-against-evil-ruling-regime" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

Marondera Shooting Killed Momentum Towards Inclusive National Dialogue - Analyst

A political analyst has opined that President <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Emmerson_Mnangagwa" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Emmerson Mnangagwa</a> should be worried by the palpable anger harboured by the general citizenry over the state of the economy, as the disgruntlement could have spilt to the security sector.
Eldred Masunungure, a <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/University_of_Zimbabwe" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">University of Zimbabwe</a> political science lecturer, was speaking to the Daily News on the incident of a soldier who is alleged to have repeatedly fired his rifle into the air while on guard duty at State House. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>Anger and disillusionment have been boiling over since November 2017, because many in the lower ranks of the military appear to feel that they were used then.
It is neither here nor there that the soldier in question is said to be deranged … this was an expression of broad anger. It is not an isolated case.
You cannot be guarded by people who are hungry … as it is the elite who are enjoying the fruits of the November coup.</blockquote>
Reports indicate that the soldier emptied his magazine and was apprehended by his colleagues while trying to reload at State House on Tuesday last week.
The soldier is thought to have had shown signs of mental problems in the past, with authorities sending him for psychiatric examination following the shooting incident.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/11/24/worries-over-ed-security-escalate" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

'You Cannot Be Guarded By People Who Are Hungry'; Analyst Warns Political Elites

Eldred Masunungure, a prominent political analyst who is a lecturer in the Department of Political and Administrative Studies at the <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/University_of_Zimbabwe" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">University of Zimbabwe</a> opines that the infighting and bickering within the country’s main opposition party, the <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Nelson_Chamisa" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Nelson Chamisa</a>-led MDC is unnecessary.
Masunungure told the Daily News on Monday that the skirmishes could create despondency among the populace, resulting in the party losing support. He said:
<blockquote>The infighting in the MDC could lead to despondency by the populace because people will start to question whether there is, in fact, any alternative to Zanu PF.
At the moment, they (MDC) are disappointing the electorate. They have been a big let-down so far and that could be the cause of the defeats in by-elections, as this saps.</blockquote>
Reports suggest that some MDC officials are pushing for the expulsion of former secretary-general <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Douglas_Mwonzora" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Douglas Mwonzora</a>, who is accused of being too close to the ruling ZANU PF party.
There were violent clashes between party supporters in Harare on Saturday and the MDC youth wing immediately released a statement demanding Mwonzora’s dismissal from the party.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/11/12/chamisa-allies-go-for-the-kill-as-mwonzora-s-political-future-hangs-by-a-thread" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

MDC Warned It Could Lose Support Due To Intra-party Violence

University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure, on Wednesday told the Daily News that it is crucial that <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Emmerson_Mnangagwa" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Emmerson Mnangagwa</a> and <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Nelson_Chamisa" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Nelson Chamisa</a>, ZANU PF and MDC leaders respectively, should engage in dialogue.
This follows <a href="https://news.pindula.co.zw/2019/10/16/mdc-officials-visit-zanu-pf-hq-in-bid-to-initiate-ed-chamisa-talks/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">a report by the same publication</a> that top officials from the two parties held informal meetings in a bid to initiate dialogue between Mnangagwa and Chamisa. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>This (their talking) would be a very good development … as they would be saying that as Zanu PF and MDC they care about the people’s plight.
The informal talks should lead to serious talks as the country is heading towards a complete collapse … both parties have an obligation to find each other for the good of the economy.</blockquote>
Meanwhile, the MDC rubbished reports that there have been informal talks with the ruling ZANU PF party.
<a href="https://news.pindula.co.zw/2019/10/16/just-in-mdc-dismisses-reports-on-talks-and-meeting-at-zanu-pf-hq-fulltext/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">MDC secretary-general Chalton Hwende categorically denied that there has been any talks between ZANU PF and his party either formal, ad-hoc or informal.</a>
More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/10/17/dialogue-news-lifts-zim-hopes-as-zanu-pf-mdc-big-guns-push-for-ed-chamisa-talks" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a>

ED, Chamisa Must  “Seize The Moment” And Engage In Dialogue - Masunungure

A University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure said that President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s re-engagement efforts are almost dead in the water.
This follows remarks made by a United States of America State Department official who was quoted by news agency Reuters as saying:
<blockquote>The disappointment just keeps getting worse and worse, unfortunately. The government seems to be getting even more violent in their response to any form of opposition.</blockquote>
In an interview with the Daily News, Masunungure opined that it will be tough for President Mnangagwa to convince the West that things have changed for the better in Zimbabwe. He said:
<blockquote>The recent attack on demonstrators has invited a very tough stance from the US, which is hardening. As a result, the re-engagement process is now almost dead in the water.
ED (Mnangagwa) has to re-double his efforts if he is to succeed in this regard, but it will be very tough for him now to convince them (the West).
They are disappointed that he is perpetuating Mugabe’s policies.</blockquote>
An unnamed diplomat told the publication that the Western powers expect South African President Cyril Ramaphosa to push Harare for positive changes. Said the diplomat:
<blockquote>Ramaphosa is between a rock and a hard place. Inside his own country, things have not progressed as smoothly as he would have hoped.
Yet, there are expectations inside and outside the country that he can influence developments in Zimbabwe, and Western leaders, in particular, don’t understand why he is quiet on the worsening chaos next door.</blockquote>
South Africa’s main opposition party, the Democratic Alliance (DA) is pushing Pretoria to speak on the worsening human rights situation in Zimbabwe. DA shadow minister for International Relations, Darren Bergman, said:
<blockquote>It is clear that things in our neighbouring country are getting progressively worse, and that … Mnangagwa’s administration is merely a continuation of … Mugabe’s era of repressive, violent brutality.
… South Africa cannot continue to remain silent in this matter, as we have a moral obligation to speak out against human rights abuses irrespective of historic ties to the offender.
The ANC government must put its loyalties to … Mnangagwa’s tyrannical dictatorship aside and put the interests of the Zimbabwean people first.</blockquote>
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/08/28/zim-saddens-trump-world-as-america-issues-another-ominous-warning-to-ed" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

"ED's Re-engagement Efforts Almost Dead In The Water", Political Scientist

The government has put all security agents on high alert, fearful of nationwide protests, as happened in January this year following a sharp fuel price hike.
On Tuesday, the government announced another sharp increase in the price of fuel in a move that has generated anger and consternation among the hard-pressed citizens.
The deputy minister of Information and Publicity, Energy Mutodi said that the heightened police presence has been done to stop the opposition from causing chaos. Said Mutodi:
<blockquote>The opposition wants to make the country ungovernable as a way to gain political mileage. In response to this, the police and other arms of the State security apparatus are on high alert to deal decisively with any incidences of violence and those who are hallucinating and believing that… Mnangagwa will not complete his five-year elected mandate are day-dreaming.</blockquote>
A University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure, told the Daily News that the government has pressed the panic button. He opined:
<blockquote>The government is panicking, whether it is a rumour or not but government is afraid, the rumours trigger panic on the part of government and they have been expressing that for a while now and the security has been put on high alert, these are signs of panic and trying to prepare for the worst whether pre-or post MDC, this resonates with what government including Mnangagwa himself has been saying.</blockquote>
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/05/21/police-on-high-alert-as-fuel-prices-skyrocket" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Daily News</a></h4>

'Govt Is Panicking And Preparing For The Worst' - Analyst

Analysts have slammed Finance Minister, Mthuli Ncube’s announcement of government intentions to introduce a local currency.
A Treasury insider told the Daily News that the announcement was ill-timed, retrogressive and is likely to undermine the confidence the government has been trying to build.
Former Finance minister, Tendai Biti reiterated above sentiments. He said:
<blockquote>That is rank madness. How does one change currencies like they are changing diapers? What is the point of changing the name of the currency if it will suffer the same fate as the bond note?
The RTGS dollar will now depreciate even more and the black market rates will rise. It will have a catastrophic impact on industry which relies mainly on imports.
There will be massive externalisation as people trade offshore and there will also be increased budget deficits.</blockquote>
A Political Science lecturer at the University of Zimbabwe, Eldred Masunungure believes Ncube’s announcement is not in sync with reality on the ground. Masunungure said:
<blockquote>There is consensus among stakeholders, including consumers, that economic fundamentals around productivity have not changed much, hence it is clear that the announcement is wishful thinking as it is not backed by the situation obtaining on the ground.
Until the so-called fundamentals are right, there is no end in sight of our problems as a country because the currency will suffer the same fate as the RTGS.
So, Ncube’s proposal is not prudent and is bound to fail, especially if there is no increase in productivity to have reserves that will hedge the currency.</blockquote>
<h3>Related:</h3>
<ul>
<li class="entry-title"><a href="https://news.pindula.co.zw/2019/03/09/zimbabwes-currency-reforms-step-in-right-direction-imf/" rel="bookmark">Zimbabwe’s Currency Reforms Step In Right Direction- IMF</a></li>
</ul>
More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/04/15/new-currency-triggers-panic-as-experts-warn-of-more-price-hikes-goods-shortages" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Daily News</a>

New Currency Announcement Undermines Confidence - ANALYSTS

Political leaders have been condemned by political analysts for their behaviour at the burial of the late national hero Oliver Mtukudzi.
Mtukudzi died on Wednesday at Avenues Clinic where he was admitted due to a diabetes ailment. He was buried in his rural home, Madziwa on Sunday. Political Commentator Sithembile Mpofu had this to say:
<blockquote>I think the way Zimbabweans, in general, handled the funeral left a great deal to be desired.
There was little room left for us to discuss Tuku (Mtukudzi) and his legacy; we were left with varying sideshows, ranging from the bizarre to the ludicrous.
There was information about Chamisa being barred from the event which later turned out to be an inaccurate account of events.
Unfortunately, those who had initially put the story out were reluctant to correct their version.
I believe it would honour Mtukudzi’s legacy if we behaved in a manner that left him as the only star of his show. He left us all with the wonderful gift of his music, he deserved better.</blockquote>
University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer Eldred Masunungure said:
<blockquote>It may well be that the cause of that attitude is the toxic nature of our politics and the partisan nature of our politics.
The ruling party and the associated state security agencies interpret issues in a partisan manner; even non-political events including the funeral of a musician as well as the celebration of his life.
The look at everything with security lenses and think of the political profit and loss of everything.
I was pleasantly surprised that he handled himself in a statesman-like manner which I have advocated for.
That I think he is progressively developing into a mature political leader.</blockquote>
<h4>Related:</h4>
<ul>
<li class="entry-title">
<h4><a href="https://news.pindula.co.zw/2019/01/29/mdc-accuses-zanu-pf-of-pettiness-and-paranoia-at-oliver-mtukudzis-funeral/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">MDC Accuses ZANU PF Of Pettiness And Paranoia At Oliver Mtukudzi’s Funeral</a></h4>
</li>
</ul>
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.newzimbabwe.com/mdc-tukus-funeral-exposes-petty-and-paranoid-zanu-pf/">NewZimbabwe.com</a></h4>

Politicians Condemned For Seeking Political Profit Out Of Mtukudzi's Funeral

Political Analysts who spoke to the Daily News gave a chilling warning to President Emmerson Mnangagwa over the deteriorating economic situation.
Recurring fuel shortages, the ongoing doctors’ strike, a ‘permanent’ liquidity crisis, teachers threatening to go on strike and the erosion of workers’ incomes have become intolerable. A political analyst, Rashweat Mukundu said:
<blockquote>The truth is that the government is living a lie on issues such as the value of the bond note versus the US dollar, as well as policies that are not being responded to favourably by business and society at large.
The ongoing strikes are also symptoms of a dysfunctional government system and the earlier that Mnangagwa focuses on addressing the fundamental economic and political issues before tackling the symptoms, the better.
So far the government appears lost at sea, outside of making empty promises and threats, and this crisis will only deepen.</blockquote>
University of Zimbabwe political science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure that the country’s crises have been ongoing for 20 years. Said Masunungure:
<blockquote>Politics is sadly about promises. He will make more and more promises to extend the time for him to fulfil the promises. However, he risks damaging his credibility.
This is a long run crisis whose solution will take years. At least he (Mnangagwa) needs the whole of his term to solve this crisis. It is a big crisis.
There is no easy way out of this. He needs to recreate the conditions seen from 2009 to 2013. He needs the help of the opposition, civil society and the international community.</blockquote>
ZANU PF spokesperson Simon Khaya Moyo said that his party is not solely responsible for the crisis.
<blockquote>This is not about a Zanu PF or government issue alone. It is about all Zimbabweans having to put our heads together to get the country going.
The workers who are striking are not demanding to be paid by Zanu PF, but by the government, and the employer is engaging them now. So, it will be unfair to say the government has failed now.</blockquote>
<h3>More: <a href="https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2019/01/09/ed-running-out-of-time-as-economy-tanks-zimbabweans-become-more-restless">Daily News</a></h3>

'Govt Appears Lost At Sea, Making Empty Promises And Threats' - Political Analysts Say Mnangagwa Needs Help

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