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Economists say the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) is forcing businesses to enforce “price controls” which is in turn fuelling US dollar inflation.
This comes as the Government has been battling exchange rate volatility and a sharp rise in the prices of goods and services in the past months.
In its latest report, the Confederation of Zimbabwe Industries (CZI) said the enforcement of price controls by FIU is inflationary. Reads the report:
<blockquote>
The FIU has been harshly enforcing compliance with the prescribed principle of “formal exchange rate plus a 10% margin”.
The enforcement of price controls through the exchange rate by the FIU is actually also inflationary as it causes an increase in United States dollar prices at a time when the American dollar has a higher weight in the blending.
In short, the United States dollar inflation is a compliance-driven inflation as formal businesses tried to hedge against an unrealistic official exchange rate that they were being forced to use.
</blockquote>
Economist Gift Mugano told <a href="https://businesstimes.co.zw/fiu-hounds-firms/">Business Times</a> that if the FIU enforces price controls, it will destroy businesses. He said:
<blockquote>
The local firms peg their prices at the prevailing parallel market rate causing the Zimbabwe dollar to be on the high side as the businesses forward price to survive.
If the FIU comes to enforce the indexation of the United States dollar companies would struggle.
</blockquote>
However, Finance and Economic Development Deputy Minister Clemence Chiduwa said businesses should comply or perish. He said:
<blockquote>
Those who continue to index their prices using the parallel market rates will put themselves out of business as consumers have choices so the United States dollar inflation is for the short term and what is critical is for business to adjust.
The reality is that stability is going to be sustained, we are not going to let go and stability is not transitory. It’s now time for business to start to be ethical.
They can hold on to their current position and see what is going to happen. It is going to be sustainable. They are allowed to take their position but they will lose out in US$ terms as the local currency appreciates.
</blockquote>
CZI chief economist Cornelius Dube told Business Times that the Zimbabwe dollar pricing is correlated with the movement of the parallel exchange rate hence the prices will follow that pattern.
More: <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/">Pindula News</a>

Pindula News

"Price Controls" Driving US Dollar Inflation - Economists

Industry and Commerce Minister Sekai Nzenza said that the moratorium on prices increases agreed on by the government and businesses during the COVID-10 crisis had not worked.
Nzenza made the admission on Thursday when she appeared before the Parliamentary Portfolio Committee on Industry and Commerce chaired by Chimanimani East MP Joshua Sacco. She said:
<blockquote>This agreement with VP Mohadi was done in good faith and based on moral suasion, but what we have noted is that the moratorium on the increase in prices has not worked and I want to admit that it is partly because of the cost of production, lack of foreign currency to bring raw materials needed for production and some of the borders have closed and prices have remained high.</blockquote>
Nzenza accused retailers and manufacturers of engaging in rent-seeking behaviour and showing no sympathy to consumers. She said:
<blockquote>Another point is to do with behaviour and monetary practices, where retailers and manufacturers have not been sympathetic to consumers and we are witnessing rent-seeking behaviour which is affecting inflating and parallel market rates which change on a daily basis and is difficult to control.</blockquote>
She revealed that President Emmerson Mnangagwa had an urgent meeting with fiscal and monetary authorities to address the issue of rising inflation and a fall in the value of the local currency and a positive announcement will be made soon.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2020/05/price-controls-have-failed-govt-admits/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">NewsDay</a></h4>

Govt In Frank Price Controls Admission

The government is set to reach out to manufacturers and retailers in a move meant to control prices of goods, which are spiralling out of control on the back of a sharp fall in the value of the local currency on the parallel market.
Information, Publicity and Broadcasting Services Minister Monica Mutsvangwa, in a post-Cabinet briefing on Wednesday, said the government will announce measures which will see the situation stabilising in due course. She said:
<blockquote>We will surely urge; we will surely reach out to industry or maybe this time to firm up so that we could control these prices.
So that they do not immediately react because that is what has been happening that they have been a reaction to the parallel rate when the parallel rate moves the retail sector prices also move.</blockquote>
The exchange rate at the parallel market was US$1:$60 via electronic transfers and US$1:$45 for cash transactions while the official rate is 1:25.
Last month the government and industry agreed that prices should revert to March 25 levels but instead, prices have continued to rise while salaries remain stagnant.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.chronicle.co.zw/govt-to-unveil-price-stabilisation-measures/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Chronicle</a></h4>

Govt To Enforce Price Controls

The Zimbabwe National Chamber of Commerce (ZNCC) has warned the government that imposing price controls will result in empty shop shelves experienced in 2007.
In April this year, the government ordered businesses to revert to March 25 pricing levels but the price moratorium has largely been ignored by retailers as prices continue to rise on the back of a weak currency.
In a new research document titled Sustainable and Market Friendly Interventions to Addressing Price Spiralling During The Lockdown, ZNCC said:
<blockquote>As Zimbabwe National Chamber of Commerce (ZNCC), with membership across all the value chains of the economy, was not consulted when the decision on the price freeze was implemented … This is not the first time that price controls have been introduced in Zimbabwe. In 2007, the economy came to a halt due to price controls.
With products to be affected by the price moratorium set to include basic commodities; sugar, rice, maize meal, cooking oil, salt and bread, price freeze of these commodities may decrease product availability from manufacturers and producers which will spawn shortages on retail and wholesale shelves. The suppliers of the basic commodities have not reduced the prices as 
yet.</blockquote>
ZNCC further stated that while the objective of price controls is to lower prices for consumers, controls distort market forces of supply and demand and can lead to serious shortages of goods and services.
Price controls also kill competition as it removes rivalry among businesses, ZNCC added.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2020/05/no-to-price-controls-zncc/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">NewsDay</a></h4>

Price Controls Will Take Us Back To 2007 - ZNCC

The government will enforce price reductions as some shops were not adhering to the price moratorium which they had committed to following a  multi-sectoral stakeholders agreement last month.
This was said by Vice President Kembo Mohadi on Friday at Gwanda Provincial Hospital during a visit to monitor progress in fighting Covid-19. He said:
<blockquote>We had a moratorium where we agreed that prices had to revert to the prices of 25 March.
Some have observed that and some haven’t but since it’s something that we didn’t coerce anyone into as they signed voluntarily, we will have to enforce it to see that it’s done.
It’s not price control, it was a mutual understanding that we need to help people.</blockquote>
The price moratorium seeks to reverse recent steep increases in prices of basic goods including bread, super-refined maize meal, cooking oil, flour and sugar to March 25.
Some retailers have not only failed to reduce the prices but have actually increased them.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.sundaynews.co.zw/govt-to-enforce-price-reductions/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Sunday News</a></h4>

Govt To Compel Shops To Reduce Prices

The Zimbabwean government could be forced to subsidise various basic goods to enable retailers to roll back prices to March 25 levels.
This comes after retailers expressed unwillingness to slash prices of basic foodstuffs, contrary to an agreement reached with the government last week.
An industry player told Business Times that manufacturers were reluctant to reduce prices without a government subsidy. The unnamed official is quoted as saying:
<blockquote>From the meetings we have had since Monday, retailers are arguing that they can’t reduce prices to March 25 levels as manufacturers have since spiked their prices and are reluctant to go down without any form of payment from the authorities.
Hence the government has so far promised to pay suppliers and all those in the value chain and we can see the retailers starting to adjust prices.
Without that prices are not going to go down.</blockquote>
On Wednesday last week, Vice President Kembo Mohadi announced that prices of basic foodstuffs – including maize-meal, rice, cooking oil, sugar, salt, flour and bread — will revert to the levels of March 25, just before the lockdown.
Prices of goods spiked when the government announced a lockdown at the end of March as demand surged, with consumers stockpiling on food for the initial 21-day stay-at-home order.
<h4>More: <a href="https://businesstimes.co.zw/broke-zim-govt-to-subsidise-basic-commodities/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">Business Times</a></h4>

'Businesses To Reduce Prices Only When Govt Avails Subsidy'

The government last week reintroduced price controls as a measure to cushion the citizenry from the effects of the national lockdown that was imposed to stop the spread of coronavirus.
NewsDay reports, however, that major retailers around the country have not adhered to the decree and are actually increasing prices of their commodities.
Announcing the price control last week, Vice President Kembo Mohadi said that the retailers have to price their commodities using the prices of 25 March.
The NewsDay conducted a snap survey in Harare and Bulawayo over the past few days revealed 
that prices of basic commodities have shot up by a factor of 400% since the lockdown on 30 March as retailers are revising prices of basic commodities upwards almost daily to keep pace with the exchange rate. The publication noted:
<blockquote>Two litres of cooking which was pegged at around $60 at the end of March now costs $190 with prices of other goods such as flour and washing soap changing daily, depending on the retailer.</blockquote>
Inflation in the country has over the past 24 months been on the rise when workers’ salaries have remained relatively stagnant.
Economists say observe that the government is in a dilemma as inflation is likely to further deteriorate the living standards of many while price controls would have an adverse effect on the economy.
More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2020/04/retailers-defy-price-control-directive/">NewsDay</a>

"Major Retailers Defy Price Control Decree," - Snap Survey

Officials from the Ministry of Industry and Commerce and the Consumer Council of Zimbabwe are currently assessing the cost of basic goods in retail shops following a price freeze announced by the government.
A recent government directive did not only order a price freeze but also directed manufacturers and retailers to revert to price levels that existed as at March 25, just before the coronavirus national lockdown.
Industry and Commerce Minister Sekai Nzenza said her ministry will reveal what will be done to retailers that have ignored the price moratorium as soon as the teams have completed their assessments. She said:
<blockquote>We agreed in good faith with the businesses that during the lockdown prices should come down to March 25 levels.
We reached this understanding in order to protect the consumer while also taking in the views of the retailers and manufacturers.
We have a task force from our ministry as well as another team from the Consumer Council of Zimbabwe and these are on the ground to monitor what is happening in the shops.
When they are done with the monitoring, we will then make an assessment of their reports before announcing the next steps.</blockquote>
Last Wednesday Vice President Kembo Mohadi announced that prices of basic foodstuffs – including maize-meal, rice, cooking oil, sugar, salt, flour and bread — will revert to the levels of March 25.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.sundaymail.co.zw/govt-to-assess-price-moratorium-compliance" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">The Sunday Mail</a></h4>

Govt, Consumer Watchdog To Assess Price Freeze Compliance

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